The idea that AGI might in 10 or 20 years be smarter, or at least as smart as a human being, is no longer that far out in the future. It is very far from science fiction. It is here and now. One to three years has been the latest prediction, in fact, before this Committee.
Exact quote, beginning
Richard Blumenthal
U.S. senator from Connecticut
At a September 2024 Senate hearing, Richard Blumenthal said human-level AI could deceive and manipulate people and act independently in cyber, nuclear, or battlefield warfare.
U.S. Senator for Connecticut and Chair of the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology, and the LawSeptember 17, 2024Senate Judiciary Subcommittee hearing, Oversight of AI: Insiders’ Perspectives
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Surrounding words
And now, artificial general intelligence or AGI, which I know our witnesses are going to address today, provides even more frightening prospects for harm. The idea that AGI might in 10 or 20 years be smarter, or at least as smart as a human being, is no longer that far out in the future. It is very far from science fiction. It is here and now. One to three years has been the latest prediction, in fact, before this Committee. And we know that artificial intelligence that is as smart as human beings is also capable of deceiving us, manipulating us, and concealing facts from us, and having a mind of its own when it comes to warfare, whether it is cyber war or nuclear war or simply war on the ground in the battlefield. So we have no time to lose to make sure that those horses are still in the barn.
What this quote does not say
- The one-to-three-year forecast is explicitly described as a prediction presented before the committee, not as Blumenthal's own estimate.
- The phrase 'having a mind of its own' is Blumenthal's wording but does not specify a technical loss-of-control mechanism.
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