There is a possibility that we will soon see a widespread increase in the capabilities of autonomous systems, and thus more displacement of people. This could lead to a societal problem of increased unemployment and income inequality. To me, this is the most serious concern about future AI systems.
Exact quote, beginning
Peter Norvig
former Google research director and AI textbook co-author
In a 2015 Edge essay, Peter Norvig called possible unemployment and income inequality from expanding autonomous systems his most serious concern about future AI.
Director of Research, Google Inc.; Fellow of the AAAI and the ACM; co-author, Artificial Intelligence: A Modern ApproachPublished 2015 · date of remarks not established2015 Edge Question: What Do You Think About Machines That Think?
Context and checks
Surrounding words
The automated system leads to some errors, but is a tradeoff that we have decided is worthwhile. We will continue to make tradeoffs in where we deploy autonomous systems. There is a possibility that we will soon see a widespread increase in the capabilities of autonomous systems, and thus more displacement of people. This could lead to a societal problem of increased unemployment and income inequality. To me, this is the most serious concern about future AI systems. In past technological revolutions (agricultural and industrial) the notion of work changed, but the changes happened over generations, not years, and the changes always led to new jobs. We may be in for a period of change that is much more rapid and disruptive; we will need some social conventions and safety nets to restore stability. The third concern is the universality of intelligent machines. In 1965 I. J.
What this quote does not say
- The passage addresses labor and distributional disruption, not extinction or loss of control.
- The collection provides only a year-level publication date.
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